TROPICAL CYCLONE “HARVEY” BULLETIN NO. 2 FRIDAY AUGUST 18 12:00 PM  

TROPICAL CYCLONE “HARVEY” BULLETIN NO. 2
FRIDAY AUGUST 18 12:00 PM
 
INFORMATION MESSAGE NO. 2
 
Watches/warnings: There are no watches or warnings in effect at this time. At  11:00 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 61.3 West. Harvey is moving toward the west near 33 km/h (18 kt), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with minor fluctuations. The center of Harvey should pass on the forecast track, to the north of Aruba at approximately 155 km on Saturday late afternoon  into the evening. Tropical storm wind conditions are not expected;  currently, the risk is estimated mostly at 10%.
 
Effect on local conditions
 
Winds: East to Northeast, 10-15 kt . Saturday in the course of the morning and during afternoon temporarily variable, 03-05 kt. During Saturday evening becoming east to southeast, 12-18 kt. During showers gusts to 25 kt.
 
Seas during period of Saturday 19, 8:00 AM until Sunday, 20 08:00 AM :
Southern Coastal Area: Slight to moderate, 2-4 ft.
Northern Coastal Area: Moderate to locally quite rough, 4 to 8 feet 
 
Rainfall: During the overnight of Saturday to Sunday morning occasional showers with a rainfall amount of 5 to 15 mm, locally more. No significant flooding is expected. The shower activity will decrease during Sunday afternoon to evening.
 
Local authorities and residents of Aruba are advised to continue monitoring the further progress of this weather system and to take all necessary measures to safeguard life and property.
 
Forecast positions:
Date/Time          Position                Intensity              Location/ Distance of Aruba
Fri,  Aug  18, 11:00   AM 13.1N –  61.3W   Weak Tropical Storm      940 Km East
Fri,  Aug  18,  8:00    PM  13.3N – 63.8W   Weak Tropical Storm      670 Km East
Sat,  Aug 19,  8:00    AM  13.6N – 67.3W   Moderate Tropical Storm             310 Km East- Northeast
Sat,  Aug 19,  8:00    PM  14.0N – 71.1W   Moderate Tropical Storm             205 Km North-Northwest
Sun, Aug 20,  8:00    AM 14.3N – 75.0W   Strong Tropical Storm     580 Km Northwest
 
 
 
 
Next bulletin: Saturday August 19, 2017, 11 AM local time
 

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